Hidden NYC – Bored? Check Out This List of Weekend Activities

Why sit around watching re-runs at home when the world is your adventure? Put down the snack bowl, get out of your NYC apartment and go exploring!   1. Flushing Town Hall (137-35 Northern Blvd, Flushing, NY 11354) Flushing Town Hall may not be as massive or as renowned as Carnegie Hall, but do not let that stop you from checking out this […]

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Bayes’s Theorem: Part I

On a Friday afternoon in 1989, the physicist Leonard Mlodinow got a phone call from his doctor. His doctor told him there was an over 99 percent chance that he was infected with HIV.

The doctor was wrong. Not only was the physicist HIV-free, the chances that he was sick had really been less than 10 percent.

The doctor had done his medical testing perfectly. He just messed up the statistics.

In particular, he failed to use Bayes’s Theorem.

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